Here we go again with another tropical troublemaker brewing in the Gulf of Mexico.
Tropical depression #22 has formed in the Gulf of Mexico just to our southeast. The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has the system becoming a tropical storm during the day on Friday and a category 1 hurricane Sunday or Monday.
There’s no hurry either. The forecast solutions for this possible tropical storm, vary widely both in time and movement. Sometime in the next couple of days it has a chance of turning stronger while in that time it could go west into the coast of Mexico to our south, curve west later on and head toward the Valley, or just slip north all the way to Louisiana. The best chance to see possible significant impacts to deep South Texas would be late Sunday into mid-part of next week. Regardless of the path of this system, heavy rainfall is becoming more and more likely for next week.
If the depression/storm goes inland, south of or, near the Valley that means more rain. If it goes toward Louisiana then we turn dry early next week.
Until we have a better idea of when and where let’s just keep an eye on it and enjoy the rain it is pushing this way for now.