HARLINGEN, Texas (ValleyCentral) — As of 10 a.m. Wednesday morning, isolated showers and storms are offshore over open water east of South Padre Island and gradually heading toward the coastal areas.

What was supposed to be a slam dunk for the valley is turning into a nail-biter as a tropical low moves westward toward the middle Texas coast.

These showers and storms are associated with area of low pressure that is over the Gulf of Mexico and will bring much needed rain to areas currently experiencing drought conditions.

Weather forecast models are coming into agreement that the bulk of the rainfall falling from Corpus Christi-Victoria to the Houston area.

As the Rio Grande Valley will be on the “drier side” of this system, rain coverage will be isolated to scattered mainly along the coastal areas from South Padre Island to Port Mansfield.

However, as the seabreeze frontal boundary moves inland during the afternoon hours, we could see some occasional flare up of storms moving inland from Harlingen to the mid-valley Wednesday afternoon.

The tropical low should veer north before heading inland. The skewed track of this system, now called Invest 95, should push it more toward the Coastal Bend area north of Corpus Christi.

The National Hurricane Center is, presently, giving Invest 95 a 40% of further development into a tropical depression.

None of the data are suggesting this will turn into a strong system but rather just stay a nice rainmaker.

Rainfall amounts are not expected to be too high.

The Valley could see half of an inch to near an inch of rain.

However, there may be isolated areas that see heavier amounts with any slow-moving cells of rain or repeated rain events over the same ground.