The Hurricane Season Forecast “Does Not Matter” are not the assuring words you want to hear from the National Weather Service. The season scheduled to start in early June, however a subtropical storm in late May week shows us that nature does not always follow predictions.
This year a total of 11 to 16 named storms are predicted and up to 9 hurricanes.
We spoke to the National Weather service who tell us the forecast Does Not Matter.
Barry Goldsmith – NWS Brownsville says, “You need to be prepared because even in a quiet forecast season the one storm could be your storm. If you’re not prepared, then you’re going to be caught short.”
To clarify the forecast are important to agencies who may use predictions for preparation and decision making. As Goldsmith mentions, it only takes one to change a community forever. Last year Hurricane Harvey was a wakeup call for Texas.
“When hurricane Harvey dropped, it was 20 to 10 inches or rain across Southeast Texas it was a category ‘nada’ it was a tropical storm.”
One thing to remember, categories measure wind speed. Heavy rainfall and flooding are not exclusive to hurricanes.
Predicted inches of rain can translate to feet of flooding. That is why the National Weather Service says that you must be ready.
No matter how many storms are predicted, one can be one to many.
The forecast can seem favorable and still make a major impact.
For example, in 1967 experts predicted a quiet season.
However long-time residents may forever remember Hurricane Beulah and the damage it brought to the Rio Grande Valley.
That is why the NWS emphasizes that despite the forecast, “It only takes one.”
Tips from Cameron County Emergency Management: http://www.co.cameron.tx.us/document_center/EM%20Newsletter-2018-May.pdf